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1997-12-29 17:41:02


Estimated Y2K Compliance: 2005



The Department of Defense expects to be fully 2000-compliant in 2005, according to this story in GOVERNMENT COMPUTER NEWS.

The Red Chinese will be pleased to hear this. They'll probably be in Taiwan long before that.

Meanwhile, North Korea will be in South Korea.

Casper Weinberger's hypothetical Asian scenario in THE NEXT WAR is looking more plausible as we approach 2000.

* * * * * * * *

Carla von Bernewitz, the year 2000 program manager in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, credited DOD's Year 2000 interface workshops with hardening everyone's resolve to get the troops moving. "Mr. Paige and Mr. Hamre are saying if you don't have your system information in the repository, then it isn't important enough to be funded," she said. . . .

Then there's the "triage" model, which quantifies the risk associated with not fixing a certain system or interface. And last, the "transition" model helps coordinate code fixes and final integration testing. Realistically, it's going to be 2005 or later before everyone finishes this engineering and takes down the last firewalls, McArthur believes.

Even with automated tools, the government won't have an easy time deciding which programs to save and which to mothball or leave to die. It's going to be gut-wrenching.


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